of a sudden sound. Albert Einstein Nine-tenths of tactics are certain and taught in the books; but, the irrational tenth is like the kingfisher flashing across the pool. We could define it as the art of taking charge of your own mind. Yogi Berra Short term thinking drives out long term strategy, every time. Here are the most commonly used psychological standards in human thinking. This paper will propose that a concept of open source warfare will be far more effective in supporting a campaign design methodology during complex emergencies as opposed to the traditional compartmentalized approach favoured in todays military planning process. Finally, the pragmatic nature of the approach is illustrated by measuring the effectiveness of a notional, security force response strategy in a scenario involving a terrorist attack on a United States Air Force base. In the spirit of Churchill, I have also concocted somewhat grandiose but descriptive labels for the three conditions: Analysis Process Paralysis, the Missouri State Constitution Risk Uncertainty Paralysis, and Decision Precision Paralysis.
CRITICAL THINKING AND PERCEPTION
Francis Bacon, On the Interpretation of Nature, 1603 See red team thinking, especially the ufmcs Red Team Handbook See decision making See abductive, deductive, and inductive reasoning See design See argumentative and persuasive communication See media affecting decision making Improve Your Critical Thinking, resources. This is the test of generals. For example, using induction, a child learns to associate the color red with heat and heat with pain, and then to generalize these associations to new situations. Dont forget that the Marine Corps is a warfighting institution, not a think tank. Kathryn Schulz, in Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error Leaders can let you fail and yet not let you be a failure. Its a sci-fi-tinged question that Steve Ramirez and Xu Liu are asking in their lab at MIT. Surprise then activates and orients your attention: you will stare, and you will search your memory for a story that makes sense of the surprising event.
Our Conception of, critical Thinking
Human is a Thinking Machine, Summary of Critical Thinking, Higher Level of Thinking, Thinking Outside The Box,